Many have offered that a modicum of prosperity must be
existent before freedom can be enjoyed by a given society. In other
words, a nation cannot afford to be free unless it is sufficiently
prosperous. Using comparisons of specific historical examples and
contemporary arguments, the idea that before peace and prosperity are
possible, an environment of free thinking that catalyzes the
questioning of authority structures must come first. To try to pour
money into a society that is ruled by force and has an economy
characterized by cronyism has been shown not only to be ineffective,
such policies have actually exacerbated poverty, tyranny and
belligerence.
A short history setting the
stage will lead into the tentative steps toward LDC development. These
will be then explored in several examples, with an emphasis upon what
worked, what did not and why. The failures and successes will then be
evaluated with an objective of providing a prescription for what will
likely produce positive results vis-à-vis freedom, peace and
prosperity for the North and South.
As traditional societies feel
economic pressure from the outside world, a typical development pattern
emerges. The first stage is simply raw material export – the people
themselves often being regarded as commodities also. Afterward
machinery is imported to develop these raw materials for further
processing elsewhere. In some cases a further stage will be
characterized by having finished products manufactured in a
labor-intensive manner – such as is the case with textiles. The
indigenous government would act as gatekeeper/manager of this
development (Moghadam 6-7). [By way of illustration, the stages would
be: raw cotton exported/cotton made into fabric/fabric sewn into
clothing.]
Women were often seen as merely
“sources of cheap labor” in this development process in much of the
Third World. In places wherein preserving social tradition outweighed
desire for development [such as in the traditional Islamic world],
women were often left out. Given that half of the potential workforce
was relatively unavailable, this also put such societies at a
comparative disadvantage to other cultures that had no such qualms.
Some countries dealt with this problem by importing men from elsewhere
rather than having their women work (Moghadam 7-8).
The governments in these
traditional societies found themselves torn. On the one hand, there was
internal pressure to preserve existing strictures that would threaten
to provide more universal economic empowerment that comes with drawing
a wage. Pulling in the opposite direction was the promise of economic
development and political prestige that came from more people becoming
active participants in the increasingly interdependent world economy
(Moghadam 8-9).
Late in the nineteenth century
and into the early twentieth, Western countries that had varying
degrees of ties to LDCs began in earnest to develop organizations
that
were specifically designed to have a positive effect upon the native
culture. Many were exported versions of their own civic organizations,
such as the Red Cross. While the United States expanded its presence in
the newly won Philippines, such entities served to integrate as many
people as possible into the development process, but there was also a
motive of containing any impulse toward violent resistance to
occupation (Hilhorst 13).
Americans encouraged the
formation of political and social movements geared toward universal
participation and benefit. From it developed a growing movement to
increase the voting franchise for previously neglected/marginalized
groups. However, most of these also operated within the framework of
enhancing the economic and political position of favored figures within
the native elites. This tended to lead to authoritarian regimes being
installed and held into place. This was all the more likely given the
concern of forestalling any perceived threat of Marxist expansion as
the Cold War began to intensify in the mid twentieth century (Hilhorst
13).
There was a backlash
against this as opposition movements developed, some completely
home-grown while others were backed by the colonials’ rivals seeking to
weaken the client regime or perhaps replace it with its own satellite.
The indigenous populations thus often found themselves caught up in the
middle of a geostrategic power struggle in which they would otherwise
have had no interest.
A
generation earlier, many in the West became disenchanted with classical
liberal market economies and sought solutions that involved strong
central governments ostensibly acting as vanguards for the
disfranchised uneducated masses. Thus, we witnessed versions of Marxism
and fascism being brought from theory into practice in varying degrees
in Europe and North America. These ideologies had differing levels of
support within the existing power structures, so conflict often ensued.
In many cases then, the
internal conflicts within colonial powers would compliment the
geostrategic ones that would in turn lead to Western-born opposition
groups being imported into subject countries. Thus in the case of the
Philippines, nationalist and student activist groups were complimented
by Liberation Theology Catholics and Communist parties that joined in
the fray against the U.S. supported regime. These were banned under
Marcos’ declaration of emergency powers, so many went underground or
had a public front that had a covert side of undermining the regime.
These and others eventually were successful in peacefully removing the
Marcos without it becoming a client of an expansionist rival such as
the PRC (Hilhorst 13).
In post-colonial
societies, the
“exploitative nature” of their former status often provided the
indigenous elites “with a convenient scapegoat for their failure in
managing their economies efficiently after independence.” Thus, in the
example of the nascent sovereignties emerging in Africa, explains
economist Ahmad Abubakar, internal and external commentators lamented
that they only enjoyed a “flag independence” when in fact their
economic fates were determined elsewhere. The leadership was Western
educated, but failed to adapt their thinking to their own environments,
instead implementing development strategies that were “urban-based,
oriented to elitist consumption and outward-looking” (Abubakar 1-2).
The leadership became
increasingly estranged from their constituencies and neglected to
appreciate the essential importance of widespread education and
agricultural self-sufficiency, choosing instead to spend scarce
resources upon “industry and social services.” They successfully
brought down infant mortality rates while birth rates were not
commensurately reduced. As the 1960s progressed into the ‘70s,
competition over raw material exports between LDCs intensified,
reducing profitability and creating a spiraling domestic “food crisis.”
Much of the export-oriented former “colonial economic structures”
persisted. Import substitution strategies failed, argues Abubakar,
because it entailed undue “dependence on imported raw materials and
capital goods” and the production base was overly invested in expensive
consumer goods that the domestic populations could not afford – and
were comparatively non-essential as efforts toward self-sufficiency
(Abubakar 2-5).
Taiwan by comparison had
considerable disadvantage to Africa with respect to raw materials and
land mass. Yet the 132nd smallest nation on earth has enjoyed 7.9
percent economic growth from 1985 to 1995 while the world figure stood
at 2.9 percent. “These statistics were not a fluke,” argues University
of Alaska Political Science professor Gerald A. McBeath. Taiwan’s plan
was not original, being “based upon the experiences of the English and
American industrial revolutions” and influenced by the models of the
post WWII recoveries of Germany and Japan. During the early 1950s, the
ruling KMT entertained dreams of “recovering the mainland” and was thus
resolved to foster the economic growth
necessary to build such military
power. Agriculture was modernized; “nascent industries” were encouraged
with a special emphasis upon export. “Land and labor” oriented
enterprise was gradually phased out in favor of “technology and
capital” (McBeath 246-7).
Import substitution strategies
were implemented during the late 1950s, but the benefits were
“short-lived,” thus a “shift toward export-oriented industrialization”
began to reap better results. This in turn led Taiwan to lose its
“comparative advantage in labor-intensive manufactures,” so adjustments
were made to toward technological development and an aggressive move
toward participating in international capital markets – and to
encourage foreign investment domestically. Politically, Taiwan remained
essentially a one-party state until the late 1980s, and there was some
distrust of private enterprise amongst some of the ruling elites.
However, the KMT became increasingly divided – thus in effect less
vigilant – in political cronyism being extended to the economy. High
literacy rates, a strong work ethic and relatively low tax rates
encouraged the entrepreneurship that is vital to a solid economy. Thus
economic liberalization fostered economic growth, which in turn led to
eventual political liberalization – which only helped the economy
further (McBeath 247-51).
In Brazil, explains
Universidade Federal Fluminense political science professor Eduardo R.
Gomes, leaders emulated the typical 1960s Latin American model of
protectionist domestic-oriented import substitution that featured an
“overvalued exchange rate.” The state was the primary actor, providing
“basic services” as well as fostering heavily regulated
entrepreneurship. Given this environment, businesses devoted
considerable energy toward “influencing the process of policy-making or
for getting specific privileges from the state through various channels
of interaction with public spheres, such as bureaucratic rings, policy
networks, by and large, with short-term demands, in a narrow and
dispersed way” (Gomes).
During the 1950s, independent
companies devoted effort to maintain a “corporatist” monopoly structure
“rooted in the industrial sectors of durable and intermediate goods
that were emerging in the country at that point.” Given the heavy hand
of government it was still “partially subordinated to the state” and
expended effort to secure success by currying favor with officials. The
export market was heavily reliant upon coffee exports – the markets of
which were highly competitive (Gomes).
The stagnation that resulted
led the government to borrow heavily – which in turn led to balance of
trade deficits, currency devaluations and hyperinflation. This had a
more than tangible effect upon the population, leading to widespread
unrest that was forcibly quelled by a military takeover. Once stability
was restored, the national government worked toward promoting export
starting in the mid-1960s using import-substitution and promoting the
expansion of the manufacturing sector. As the following decades ensued,
shifting government economic policy placed “long protected
entrepreneurs” in the position of dealing with heavily subsidized
foreign competition or concentrating on a domestic market that was
still closed to the outside (Gomes).
Oil shocks, excess textile
productive capacity and international protectionism served to deepen
Brazil’s economic crisis, to which the business community responded by
asking for more subsidies. The military regime ceded power in the mid
1980s and popular opinion favored a wage and price freeze that only
served to buy time. That is because, asserts Gomes, this and other
interventionist plans “all lacked complementary policies for fiscal
soundness [and] enhanced domestic competition” aimed at producing
long-term growth. Further, it put various sectors of the domestic
economy destructively at odds with each other rather than seeking
mutual benefit (Gomes).
Reform and development has been
notoriously problematic in the former Soviet Republics. The Harvard
Institute for International Development’s Alexander Pivovarsky argues
that in the example of the Ukraine, “slow progress in economic reforms
lie in the political economy, not in the innate inability of Ukrainian
society to establish an effectively functioning market economy.”
Privatization has been nominal; one must have political connections in
order to attain influence in business. There are two economies: a real
one and a ‘virtual’ one that functions unaccountably, often by means of
barter. Conceding to this reality, the government accepted “more than
20 percent of tax obligation was paid with goods and services” in 1998
(Pivovarsky).
This unofficial barter economy
represents nearly half of all transactions. Because of this, explains
Dr. Pivovarsky, “book profits have little to do with firms’ revenues
since most debts remain unpaid for many months.” Barter trade at this
scale detracts from transparency, thus feeding a pervasive atmosphere
of corruption and a constituency among the political/economic elites to
preserve a status quo that functions to the detriment of most everyone
else. Ukrainian banks’ total assets are only 18 percent of GDP – one of
the lowest in the world – thus they do not serve their normal role as
“financial intermediaries between the households and the firms.”
Instead, the government fulfills that role with subsidies, tax breaks,
“access to energy inputs,” etc. Thus, connections and payoffs to
officials are considered critical to real economic opportunity in the
Ukraine (Pivovarsky).
The “officially loss-making”
energy sector is critical to the national financial system and is the
“largest net creditor” because of the virtual economy and those left
out must use scarce hard currency. Because of this – at 200,000 –
Ukrainian “registered small business” are only one-tenth of those in
neighboring Poland. Dr. Pivovarsky also offers that a “poor bankruptcy
system” is characterized by banks having “effective authority over the
indebted enterprises’ bank accounts” which in turn serves as a “de
facto equivalent to imposing a 100-percent tax on their cash revenues.”
Further, most private companies have little confidence in the courts’
abilities to enforce contracts, thus they must turn to “informal
mechanisms” that are less reliable and have “high transaction costs”
(Pivovarsky).
Even in a relatively stable
economy like that of Mexico, if the essential mechanisms that promote
growth are not sufficiently extant, development beyond a certain point
can prove to be problematic. Noting the importance of investor security
for capital formation to be effective, Council on Foreign Relations’
Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes observes that shareholder rights are “very
bleak” in Mexico. Shareholders can vote, but advance information about
upcoming agenda are not sent to investors. Voting shares by mail is not
permitted and if shareholders then give notice that they plan to vote
their shares, they risk being “blocked, making it impossible for them
to trade the shares in the days surrounding the meeting”
(Lopez-de-Silanes).
Further, when they vote they
can only “vote on the slate of directors proposed by management and are
not allowed proportional representation on the board.” Creditor rights
are also poor, thus disincentivizing internal lending. The Mexican
legal system’s ability shares a similar weakness in financial
enforcement. Poor accounting standards that Dr. Lopez-de-Silanes
explains typifies most civil-law countries [e.g. Germany, France] is
distinguished from common-law systems [e.g. the United States, Great
Britain] (Lopez-de-Silanes).
Perhaps as an adaptation to the
“weak legal protection,” Mexico’s dispersion of corporate ownership is
very poor – in fact having the third largest level of concentration in
the world. External equity access is “roughly half the world mean” and
the IPO offering ratio is about thirty to fifty times less than the
world mean. What this portends for Mexico’s financial future is that
“exogenous component of financial market development, obtained by using
legal origin as an instrument, predicts economic growth.” Financial and
economic development are tied and if investors are not as free to
direct their resources to the most productive sectors, the nation’s
economy is adversely affected (Lopez-de-Silanes).
Perhaps what is needed in all
of the above cases is a concerted regional approach. Today the world
reaps a great advantage given that Cold War “superpower geopolitics” no
longer drives international decision-making. This has provided a great
benefit in that it is no longer necessary to prop up authoritarian
regimes in order to forestall a vacuum being occupied by a threatening
Soviet client. Thus, liberalization has taken hold in the developing
world. The potential reward for all concerned is not only political but
also economic. Instead, offers Overseas Development Council Senior Vice
President Catherine Gwin, finding ways to adjust to globalization is
the current challenge (Gwin).
Rewards such as capturing “the
benefits of more integrated global finance and markets” beckon.
However, looming as well are such risks as “increased inequality and
volatility brought about by today’s technology-driven globalization
process” as well as infectious disease, environmental threats and
cross-border crime syndicates. Thus, argues Gwin, these international
challenges require cooperation beyond the borders. Foreign aid, medical
research, financial regulation etc. are best served by a “multicountry,
problem-oriented approach to development cooperation. In this
environment, stability and fairness are sought be LDCs more than mere
aid increases (Gwin).
Rather than simply treating
symptoms, aid of various kinds should be “based on assessments of
performance in areas of macroeconomic policy, poverty reduction, and
the exercise of good governance” rather than the Cold War
conditionalities. A result-oriented approach would include improved
delivery methods of aid. Integrated efforts of donor and recipient
governments would combine with those of domestic and international
business as well as NGOs. Indeed, argues Gwin, a “new paradigm” geared
toward mutual benefit gained from cooperation “not only providing
adequate resources but providing them in new ways” (Gwin).
REFERENCES
Abubakar, Ahmad. Africa
and the Challenge of Development:
Acquiescence and Dependency versus Freedom and Development. New York:
Praeger
Publishers, 1989.
Moghadam, Valentine M.
“The
Political Economy of Female Employment in the Arab Region” Gender
and
Development in the Arab World, Khoury, Nabil and Valentine M.
Moghadam ed., Tokyo: United Nations University
Press, 1995.
Hilhorst,
Dorothea. The Real
World of NGOs. London:
Zed Books, Ltd, 2000.
McBeath, Gerald A. Wealth
and
Freedom: Taiwan’s New Political Economy. Brookfield: Ashgate Publishing, 1998.
Pivovarsky, Alexander.
“The
Challenges of Ukraine's
Economic Reforms” Conference Highlights -- Ukraine:
Challenges of the
Continuing Transition National Intelligence Council and the
State
Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research, June 30, 1999.
Lopez-de-Silanes,
Florencio. “Reforming
and Deepening Mexico's
Financial Markets.” Council on Foreign Relations Working Group
on
Development, Trade, and International Finance September 2000.
Gomes, Eduardo R.
“Before
Neoliberalism: Brazil's
Export-Oriented Growth and the Failed Embedded Politics of
Entrepreneurs” International
Studies Association 41st Annual Convention Los Angeles, CA.
March 14-18, 2000.
Gwin, Catharine. “The
New
Development Cooperation Paradigm.” Overseas Development Council
Policy Brief.
June, 1999.
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